CUFE-BS Academic Seminar: How Commercial Diffusion of Dual-Use Technologies Produces Techno-Bloc Polarization: A Theory of Strategic Latency

Date: 2026-05-19    ClickTimes:



Time: 21:00-22:30, 19 May 2026

Speaker: Xia Jun, Professor at the Naveen Jindal School of Management, the University of Texas at Dallas, USA. His research areas encompass organizational theory, strategic management and international business, with a focus on resource dependence, institutional processes, strategic alliances and corporate behaviors in emerging economies. His research papers have been published in academic journals such as the Academy of Management Journal, Strategic Management Journal, Organization Science and Journal of Management. He currently works as Senior Editor of Management and Organization Review, and serves on the editorial boards of journals including Academy of Management Review and Journal of International Business Studies.

Abstract:

How does commercial openness become a security liability? This study introduces strategic latency—the geopolitical significance that accumulates within dual-use technology ecosystems before states formally recognize it as a security concern. Through cross-border production, knowledge exchange, and ecosystem integration, commercially successful openness can gradually generate strategic dependence, chokepoint vulnerabilities, and political sensitivity.

Drawing on a four-actor framework of home states, multinational enterprises, host states, and third countries, the study develops a recursive process model explaining how commercial diffusion evolves into techno-bloc polarization. Using the advanced semiconductor industry as a central illustration, the study argues that contemporary technological fragmentation is likely to take the form of selective polarization rather than complete decoupling.